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EsVan Risk Assessment

Esbenshade/Vanderbilt (EsVan) Model 

Risk of Blood Stream Infection

 

Minimal Risk

Intermediate Risk

High Risk

 

Predicted Risk < 10%

Predicted Risk 10 - < 40%

Predicted Risk > 40%

 

Discharge home with no antibiotics

and strict follow-up;

primary team to follow-up by phone next day

Administer ceftriaxone 50 mg/kg IV

and discharge home

Administer cefepime 50 mg/kg IV

and admit to 4HH overnight for observation

 

 

References:

Esbenshade, A.J., Zhao, Z., Gray, W., Hussain, L. (n.d.). Risk prediction model for the diagnosis of blood stream infection in febrile pediatric oncology patients without severe neutropenia. https://cqs.app.vumc.org/shiny/RiskPrediction/

Esbenshade, A. J., Pentima, M. C., Zhao, Z., Shintani, A., Esbenshade, J. C., Simpson, M. E., Montgomery, K. C., Lindell, R. B., Lee, H., Wallace, A., Garcia, K. L., Moons, K. G., & Friedman, D. L. (2015). Development and validation of a prediction model for diagnosing blood stream infections in febrile, non-neutropenic children with cancer. Pediatr Blood Cancer, 62(2), 262-268. https://doi.org/10.1002/pbc.25275

Esbenshade, A. J., Zhao, Z., Aftandilian, C., Saab, R., Wattier, R. L., Beauchemin, M., Miller, T. P., Wilkes, J. J., Kelly, M. J., Fernbach, A., Jeng, M., Schwartz, C. L., Dvorak, C. C., Shyr, Y., Moons, K. G. M., Sulis, M. L., & Friedman, D. L. (2017). Multisite external validation of a risk prediction model for the diagnosis of blood stream infections in febrile pediatric oncology patients without severe neutropenia. Cancer, 123(19), 3781-3790. https://doi.org/10.1002/cncr.30792